Investing like Warren Buffett

Investing Like Warren Buffett

The ‘Oracle of Omaha’ invests like no other – successfully. He isn’t a fierce and aggressive investor though, rather a calculative and risk-free businessmen. One might question the kind of companies he invests in, but his methods are clean, careful and even somewhat conservative. Warren Buffett ranks with currently 71.6 billion US dollar among the wealthiest individuals in the world. Born to a Congressman in Nebraska, he made his first money selling chewing gum. More than half a century later he is the CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, an American multinational conglomerate holding company.

Many young businessmen continuously seek advice and answers to how he made such a large amount of money. The answers are rather simple and surprising. Unlike the risky investors one has increasingly encountered in the last decades, he hardly ever makes a rush and not-thought-through investment. Furthermore, he isn’t bothered by the market or other investors, which is probably one of his biggest strengths.

Although he reads up to five different newspapers everyday, the daily fluctuations of the stock exchange don’t influence his decisions. His attitude towards investments is different compared to most modern investors. The daily numbers on Wall Street can often cause a frenzy of hasty buying and selling of shares. Warren Buffett considers his investments to be long-term. Romanticising his approach, one could say he is ‘old school’. When Buffet bought his first shares half a century ago, the average time for holding a share was more than a month. Nowadays, this average has dropped to scary 22 seconds. Considering that a share represents a part of company, one could say 22 seconds isn’t really an investment in anything.

He credo is to invest in what he knows. There isn’t a chance he buys shares worth millions of dollars from a company that he doesn’t entirely understand. He does his homework and buys shares as if he was buying the entire business. This investment is not based on the fluctuation of the share, but rather on long-term interests in the company. One could actually argue that Buffett’s categories are extremely conservative. When considering an investment, he questions whether the company is simple and understandable, has a positive operational history and if there is a favourable future for the business.

This strategy isn’t flexible at all, but safe and sound. Warren Buffett is known for not being irritable by the market. His holding company for example owns significant parts of Coca Cola, American Express and IBM – companies that are consistently successful.

Another strength of his is his sense of realism. He knows that it is impossible to predict the day-to-day movements of the market and therefore the direction of the economy. Most investors try to form a package of shares and investments that will be beneficial with their predicted direction of the market. However, this always includes a risk. If the prediction isn’t entirely correct, not all shares will be profitable. Buffett’s investments are outside of these predictions. He understands that he cannot, despite his vast influence and financial power, control and continuously predict the economy. He therefore only invests in businesses that are superior to these fluctuations. There are certain businesses that always will prosper and generate revenue – such as Coca Cola and IBM.

The simple principle behind Buffett’s strategies isn’t to minimise risk, but to eliminate risk in the first place. He was famously quoted saying that the stock market doesn’t really exist for him. It is only there to see if anyone offers anything foolish, he said. This exemplifies his attitude towards the daily swings of the market that most investors are influenced by – he ignores them completely.

It isn’t intelligible for him to invest in a company that he doesn’t understand and whose business isn’t transparent. Modern day trading on the stock market is mainly based on sudden impulses and spontaneous movements of the shares. Investors, buyers and traders, for the most part, no longer look at the company and its values, but rather at their day-to-day performance. As Warren Buffett tends to do long-term investments, he does exactly the opposite.

He is convinced that taking a risk with certain shares is never a good idea, as he equals a risk with not knowing. Why invest in something that you are not sure off? That is exactly his credo. No investment should be made, unless there is certainty. Once the latter is guaranteed, one can even make a heavy investment. Modern day trading is often compared to gambling at the casino. Surely, it often seems that way. False investments cannot only cause a heavy damage, but can create a ripple effect if the investment was made with borrowed money.

Warren Buffett chooses not to gamble, but place his money on the safe side. Why would you bet on black, if you know it is going to be red? Buffett might invest conservatively, but therefore only does so whenever he is sure of profit and convinced of the company itself.

One might ask, how he knows which shares and companies will be prosperous and safe. Buffett does he research. He might not be influenced by the daily fluctuations, but he does his homework concerning financial news and business developments. Once he makes an investment in a company, he usually buys a huge quantity of shares and keeps it. Many investors don’t keep shares, as the cash flow might stagnate. Warren Buffett has a certain funding, which he can easily invest without having to worry about accessibility of funds. However, also he has started small. His earnings on the market did not instantly rocket into the millions.

Warren Buffett might posses 71.7 Billion US Dollar, but also he has started small. He has made his first billion only in 1990. Considering he has then already been trading for over thirty years, one understands that consistency and persistency are part of his success. It is, however, difficult to apply all his tactics. Around 60 Billion US Dollar of cash pool allow him and his company to move quickly like no other investor, if necessary. Hence, his principles and attitude are admirable, but if one aspires to be the next Warren Buffett, one should make some time.

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5 Money-Saving Tips This Christmas

 

With Christmas coming up in just a few days, many of us are running around buying presents, preparing decorations and stocking up on the many ingredients we need to make delicious Christmas dishes. Wonder how you could let your wallet ache a little less? Do something different to celebrate Christmas this year! Here are some tips to help you ease up on your Christmas spending, and perhaps spending Christmas in a more meaningful way.

Organise Christmas gift exchanges

 

When trying to pick out presents for your friends and family, sometimes we feel pressured to spend more. After all, if we choose something that’s too cheap, we might come off as stingy, or not valuing the person enough. All these social expectations can certainly take a toll on your budget, especially if you’re buying presents for multiple people. With a gift exchange, you can set a maximum amount, say $15, which a person can spend on a gift. Because you would only be buying for one person, the total amount you spend would definitely be lot lesser as well! You can also spend more time picking out a more thoughtful present for the person in question.

Give back to the community

Christmas is all about giving and doing good, so why not put that into practice. Bring your family and friends to help out at an old folk’s home or charity for their Christmas celebration. Besides saving money on your own Christmas celebration, you also get to bring joy to the lives of the need and underprivileged. Who says you can’t do good and save money at the same time? Everyone’s a winner with this Christmas tip.

Give homemade gifts

If you’re the crafty sort, why not give your friends and family homemade gifts this Christmas? In addition to saving money, you also get to give your presents a real personal touch. The person who receives your present would also know that you took the time to make a present specially for him or her. If you’re not too familiar with arts and crafts, there are plenty of guides and tutorials online to help you make the perfect Christmas present for your loved one. While you’re at it, why not learn how to make a Christmas gift together?

Go for a class together

Instead of having a Christmas party (which would most definitely suck up a lot of your money), why not invite your friends and family to go for a class together? Try out a baking class or a scrapbooking class, so you can not only learn a skill, you also get to make a Christmas present for the person learning along with you! While this alternative might only be slightly cheaper than a Christmas party or gift exchange, it gives you double the value, thanks to the bonding time and the end product you make! You can also use the knowledge gained for the class to have additional baking or crafts sessions together on your own time, so it’s worthwhile investment.

Have a day out to look at the Christmas lights

With Christmas decorations getting more and more extravagant each year, it would be a waste to not go out and take a look. This Christmas tip is especially useful if you have young children, or are thinking of Christmas date ideas with your loved one! Other than Orchard Road, you can also head down to Gardens By The Bay, to see their beautiful Christmas lights installation. This is definitely something not to be missed. Plus, it’s free!

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Be a Smart Consumer: Avoid These 4 Marketing Tricks

To be a smart consumer, you must spend within your needs and not over your means. Marketing or Sales Agents like any other businesses are using the power of persuasion to gain profit. I’m not saying it is a bad thing (personally I think it is a talent), but it may influence the consumers to buy something that is rather unnecessary.

Image Credits: Andrew Stawarz via Flickr

Image Credits: Andrew Stawarz via Flickr

On that note, here are 4 Marketing Tricks you shall learn to avoid…

1. Foot-in-the-Door

It is a technique that starts with small requests in order to gain a “YES” with bigger requests. This works because of our desire to be consistent in our commitments.

For example, Fitness Studios will make you test their services first by giving a 1-week free pass before offering you their packages. Do you really need a $1,800 worth of Gym Membership when you rarely have the time to go?

2. Door-in-the-Face

In contrast, this trick starts with a huge and unreasonable request in order for you to settle with a smaller request.

For example, your friend asks you to donate $100 to a charity institution and you declined. Your friend will then say: “can you at least donate $10”. And, you will agree and comply. The truth is, your friend only intends for you to donate $10.

3. Low-Balling

Technique to purposely offer a product at a lower price than one intends to charge. This tactic will make you buy something at an affordable price before revealing the hidden costs (i.e., insurance, the phone casing, or batteries).

Image Credits: JOHN LLOYD via Flickr

Image Credits: JOHN LLOYD via Flickr

For example, a Car Salesman offers you an initial attractive offer that you can’t resist but then later increases the price because of a “mistake in labeling”. Once again, Psychology dictates that it works because of our need to be consistent in our choices.

4. Brainwashed by Advertising

There you have it! As Warren Buffett once said: “Rule No. 1: Never lose money. Rule No. 2: Never forget rule No. 1”. I hope that by knowing these, you will be able to make smarter consumer choices in the future.

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What to learn from the sinking oil price?

Falling Oil Prices

The black gold is without question, still one of the most valuable goods in the trading market. Many countries are dependent on the consumption of it, while other economies are entirely based on the selling of oil. When the oil price suddenly falls heavily, some people are getting extremely worried and others buy frenetically. In the last weeks and months, the oil price has been experiencing the biggest plunge since the mid-year drop in 2008. The price has currently reached almost half of what it still was June 2014.

Traders and consumers are not only buying, but also asking themselves how this drop came about and how it might affect the economy. Oil was already to run out in the 1970s and only expected to excel in price, if anything at all. The sudden fall of the oil price is not only unexpected, but also creates a certain anxiety – is it the first sign of a collapsing economy? Looking more closely at the events, one can learn a few things.

Falling demand

Firstly, the world is less dependent on American and Middle-Eastern oil than one might have thought. In September the U.S. Energy Information Administration has reported the highest monthly production rate in 28 years. On the other hand, Europe and China are buying less oil, as the demands shifts to gas and renewable resources. The supply has increased and the demand decreased, hence the price fell.

When the price for oil was high, economists blamed the American government for slowing down the economy as subsequent high gasoline prices damaged shipping, trade and travel. Now that the price is low, the same voices expressed accusations towards the same government for bringing a decline to the oil industry. Areas in Texas and North Dakota, in which the oil industry is a heavyweight, fear job cuts, as the production of oil might need to be reduced to stabilise the oil price.

If both high and low oil prices are bad for the economy, then when is it good for the economy? The truth is that the oil price alone is not responsible neither for a flourishing nor for a stagnating American or international economy. Neither is the president nor the government directly responsible for the fluctuation of the oil price. Morgan Stanley predicts that the price can even further drop in the beginning of the New Year. Fact is though, no matter whether high or low oil price, there will be benefiters either way. The world economy surely is related to the oil price. However, some critics wrongly believe that the falling and rising of the oil price regulates the international economy – it is the other way around.

Government regulation

Related to the problem of the falling and rising of the oil price is the issue of government regulations. The question is whether it is necessary and beneficial to regulate the drilling for oil and the oil market itself. Once again, there are critics arguing both ways. Furthermore, there have been regulations in place both when the oil price was rising and falling as it is now. Every time again the market has regulated itself. ‘How come?’, one might ask. It is due to one of the oldest economic principles – demand and supply.

Oil is a good that can be traded. However, it is often treated just like a currency, which it obviously isn’t. Regulations surely can have an effect on a good being traded, but in the case of oil, the market will regulate itself. The current decrease of the oil price is such a self-regulation. Softer or stronger restrictions on oil drillings would have had only a small impact – considering the entirety of the world market and trade movements. If the government hadn’t restricted drillings, the price would have dropped perhaps faster, but it couldn’t have been prevented.

The black gold isn’t any weapon or tool that can be used to stir the economy into a particular direction. Oil, no matter whether coming from the US or the Middle East, is subject to the market. If the supply is surpassing the demand, the price will simply go down – period. The only question remaining is, whether critics in awe of economic regulations will understand it.

The oil price will mainly remain a victim to demand and supply. However, there is another lesson to be learned. If China and Europe keep cutting down on their need for oil, the self-regulation of the oil market might result in a downward spiral in the long run. If the demand for oil will continuously decrease, the production and drilling will eventually do the same. The industry tends not to react to short-term movements, such as the current one. However, there is a good chance that the demand will not pick up, which will result in cutbacks.

Reduction in oil drilling

What does that does? The American economy is not entirely based on the production of oil. However, it is one of the biggest industries in the country. Although the U.S. consumes plenty of oil by themselves, the cutback in international demand can have a significant effect on the industry. Therefore, it is relatively safe to consider a reduction in oil drilling in the long run. This is not only due to a lack of demand, but also because the benefit margin in the oil industry will become increasingly thinner than it already is, due to high and continuously increasing production cost. Not only are subsidies being given to renewable energies, but also the infrastructure of the oil industry will not survive another renewal.

There is, however, one counterexample, which is the arms industry in the United States. The oil industry in the U.S can be compared to the arms industry. The latter is a major player in the American economy, but for a substantial part kept alive due to the government’s own spending in arms. Therefore, plenty of jobs are being maintained because the United States is at war. Only if a similar scenario will occur within the oil industry, there will be a chance for the long-term security for the industry.

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5 Ways to Shop for Healthy Foods Without Spending Too Much

It is no secret that buying organic and healthy foods is more costly than buying junk. But, if you are willing to shop smartly, then you can enjoy the goodness and freshness of organic foods without breaking your food budget. Here are 5 Ways to Shop for Healthy Foods Without Spending Too Much…

1. Purchase Within Your Family’s Needs

Buy stocks of food to fit your whole family. Usually, to save more money, you will want to buy in bulk, but, not if you are a family of three or two. Rethink your family’s needs and list it down.

2. Shop Around

In order for you to find the best price in town, you must shop around different stores. Besides supermarkets, you can search for healthy foods in specialty stores, Gourmet Delis, Wet and Dry Markets, and even Online. For instance, you may go to two different stores to save money and buy the best product: one for the vegetables and one for the sea foods.

Image Credits: epSos .de via Flickr

Image Credits: epSos .de via Flickr

3. Shop in Season

You will definitely save more money if you purchase the organic produce that is in season. Price always lowers when there is greater supply. Summer and fall are usually the best times to go creative with your food choices.

4. Grow Your Own Food

Growing your own food is organic at its finest. If you do not have a backyard or an apartment balcony there are community gardens for you to plant your own seed. Aside from being domestic, you can also save more money if you buy produce of the local supermarket’s brand (e.g. Mixed Vegetables by FairPrice).

5. Go Gaga over Greens

Kale, arugula, and spinach are some of the most nutritious and affordable foods you will find in a grocery store. As the color of the vegetable gets darker, the more nutritious it is because of its antioxidants and beta-carotene. If possible, buy the leafy greens that are not pre-packed because they are cheaper.

Image Credits: Amazing Almonds via Flickr

Image Credits: Amazing Almonds via Flickr

BONUS TIP! Stay on the outside aisles of the grocery store because the further you go inside, the less healthy it becomes. That is all for now. Have fun shopping!

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